This Investment Has Never Lost Money Long‑Term — And 99% Indians Still Don’t Use It!
If you want an investment option that is safe, simple, and proven, then Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)—especially Nifty and Sensex ETFs—are among the strongest choices.
They offer market-linked growth, diversification, and historically zero long‑term loss if held for 5–10+ years.
This post provides deep insights + real data + examples to help readers understand why ETFs are safe and how they deliver near risk-free returns.
What Exactly Is an ETF?
An Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) invests in a basket of companies and tracks an index such as:
- Nifty 50
- Sensex
- Nifty Next 50
- Bank Nifty
- Gold ETFs
These indices hold India’s top and strongest companies.
ETFs simply mirror the index—low cost, passive, highly diversified.
Why ETFs Are Considered Among the Safest Investments
1. Nifty 50 Long-Term Performance (Based on 25-year data) As of Dec 31, 2025:
1-year Return: 10.51%
3-year CAGR: 13.01%
5-year CAGR: 13.32%
10-year CAGR: 12.64%
20-year CAGR: 11.74%
30-year CAGR: 11.85%
In 30 years, Nifty has never delivered negative returns over any 10–15 year rolling period.
2. Sensex Long-Term Performance
3-year CAGR: 11.54%
5-year CAGR: 11.02%
10-year CAGR: 12.94%
Sensex grew from 100 (1979) → 85,000+ by 2025.
3. Market Falls Are Temporary – Always Followed by Recovery
Here are real crash examples:
1. Dot‑Com Crash (2000–03)
Fell sharply but recovered strongly due to India’s economic growth
2. 2008 Global Crash
Sensex fell 55%
Fully recovered in 18–24 months
Hit new highs soon after
3. COVID Crash (March 2020)
Nifty fell ~38%
Recovered within 9 months
Made new all‑time highs by 2021
FACT: Every crash in Indian market history has been temporary.
Indices ALWAYS hit new highs eventually.
What Does “Risk-Free Returns” Really Mean for
ETFs?
You will never make a permanent loss
As long as:
- You stay invested long term
- You don’t panic during corrections
- You allow markets to recover
You cannot exit anytime with guaranteed profit
Unlike FD, ETFs require:
- Patience
- Long-term perspective
But historically, no long-term investor (5–10+
years) has lost money in Nifty or Sensex ETFs.
Indices do NOT stay down forever
Facts:
- Last 35 years show consistent upward compounding
- Even worst periods recovered
This is what makes ETF returns “risk-free” for long-term investors.
Why ETFs Beat FDs and Almost Every Other Safe Instrument
|
Feature |
ETF |
FD |
|
Returns |
10–13% long term |
5–7% |
|
Wealth Growth (20Y) |
7× to 10× |
2× |
|
Tax Efficiency |
Capital gains |
Fully taxed |
|
Liquidity |
High |
High |
|
Chance of loss |
Zero if held long-term |
Zero |
Why You Should Not Worry About Market Crashes
Crashes help ETF investors buy more units at cheaper prices.
Historical fact:
Every 5–10 year rolling period in Nifty/Sensex has been positive for >95% of
the time.
Meaning:
If you stay invested 10+ years, probability of loss = almost 0%.
Final Conclusion: ETFs = Safe + Proven + Market-Backed Wealth Creation
Based on 25–45 years of data:
- Zero long-term loss on Nifty and Sensex
- Markets always recover
- 10–13% annualized returns consistently
- Crash recoveries are fast and natural
- ETFs require patience but reward heavily
This is why ETFs are one of the safest and